Chile election likely to be decided by small margin
Santiago, (MILLAT ONLINE):The winner of Chile’s presidential run-off election on Sunday could be decided by a relatively small group of voters following a surge of left wing enthusiasm in Latin America’s fifth-biggest economy.
That groundswell, evident in the first round of the poll on November 19, has threatened the comeback chances of conservative billionaire Sebastian Pinera.
Until the November vote Pinera — president 2010-2014 — seemed to be a shoo-in to follow socialist President Michelle Bachelet, who cannot seek re-election under the constitution.
But Pinera, 68, is now in a much tighter race than anticipated against Alejandro Guillier, 64, a senator and veteran TV presenter who is Bachelet’s candidate.
Pinera received a lower-than-expected 37 percent of the votes in the first round.
Guillier, on the center-left, trailed with 22 percent. But on Sunday he will likely pick up support from backers of Beatriz Sanchez of the radical-left Frente Amplio party.
Sanchez, 46, surprised pundits by coming in third in the November election with an unexpectedly high 20 percent of the vote.
Adding to the nail-biting uncertainty is that no reliable surveys have been published since the first round of voting.
The outcome will decide whether Chile — a prosperous South American nation that is the world’s leading producer of copper — is governed by the right or the left for the next four years.
“The election will probably come down to a difference of less than 20,000 votes,” said political scientist Marcello Mella at the University of Santiago.
“The mathematics are in favor of Pinera, the momentum is tipped toward Guillier,” another analyst, Francisco Jose Covarrubias, wrote in the El Mercurio newspaper.
The battle for the presidency made for sharp exchanges in a televised debate on Tuesday.
Guillier “has been a senator for four years and an outstanding journalist, but I have doubts that he has the experience, or the teams, or the program to pull Chile out of the stagnation and frustration we are in today,” said Pinera.
“I’m not promising heaven and earth, but I promise that Chile will grow robustly,” he said.
Guillier shot back: Pinera “was president of Chile and didn’t do the things that we are putting forward — he promised them, but many of them fell apart.”
Both candidates are fiercely wooing the 13.4 million voters who will choose the next president.
Analysts say that a higher turnout should give the edge to Guillier.
He could get that high turnout if he “mobilizes people through an anti-Pinera message based on opposition to an oligarchy,” said Mella.